U.S. Intelligence on Europe, 1945-1995

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• National intelligence estimate x
• 1 Airstrikes
• 1 Arm Bosnian military
• 1 Armed uprising expected in Kosovo Province
• 6 Bosnia
• 1 Bosnian army
• 1 Bosnian military
• 1 Bosnian military capabilities deteriorating
• 1 Bosnian Muslim military forces
• 1 Bosnian Muslims will lose territory
• 2 Bosnian Serb army
• 1 Bosnian Serbs
• 1 Bosnia’s survival as an independent state in jeopardy
• 1 Cannot defeat Serb forces
• 1 Chances of war higher
• 1 Chemical weapons
• 1 Chemical weapons retaliatory capability
• 1 Chemical weapons stockpile
• 1 Chemical weapons stockpile in Germany
• 1 Civil war
• 1 Civil war likely
• 1 Combat will last another year
• 1 Conflicting territorial goals of Serbs and Croats
• 1 Consolidate gains into Greater Serbia
• 2 Covert military liaison
• 3 Croatia
• 1 Croatia about to launch new offensive
• 1 Croatian armed forces
• 1 Croatian combat capabilities
• 1 Croatian Defense Forces
• 1 Croatian military
• 1 Croatians
• 1 Cyprus
• 1 Danger to Western forces in Bosnia growing
• 1 Diplomatic isolation of Serbia
• 1 Disclosure to German government
• 1 Domestic political strains
• 1 Eastern Europe cannot count on West to financially bail them out
• 1 Eastern Europe not politically stable or economically self-supporting
• 1 East-west security issues
• 1 Economic and political problems
• 1 End fighting
• 1 Ethnic Albanians
• 1 Ethnic and religious hatreds
• 1 Ethnic rivalries
• 1 Ethnic tensions
• 1 Europeans want US troop contribution
• 1 Exclusion zones
• 1 Experimentation with economic reform
• 1 Extensive training
• 1 Foreign policy problems
• 1 France
• 1 France and Third World
• 1 Franjo Tudjman
• 1 French defense policy
• 1 French economic issues
• 1 Get economic sanctions lifted
• 1 Governments ill equipped to handle complex problems
• 1 Greater Serbia
• 1 Greek-Turkish tensions
• 1 Growing economic ties between Western Europe and the USSR
• 1 Heavy weapons
• 1 Implications
• 2 Implications for the U.S.
• 1 Implications for U.S.
• 1 Impossible to save Yugoslav unity
• 1 Inability of UN peacekeeping force to separate combatants
• 1 Intelligence of Soviet chemical weapons
• 1 Intercommunal talks
• 1 Internal political dynamics
• 1 Internal stability
• 1 Irreconcilable territorial goals
• 1 Kosovo
• 1 Krajina Serb forces
• 1 Lacking heavy weapons
• 1 Lift arms embargo on Bosnia
• 1 Lifting of arms embargo with force UN to withdraw
• 1 Logistical support
• 1 Military balance
• 2 Milosevic
• 1 NATO members perspectives on the Soviet Union
• 1 NATO military threat
• 1 Nicolae Ceausescu
• 1 Nonexistent economic growth
• 1 No settlement without broad peace agreement
• 1 Outside military intervention required
• 1 Partition of Bosnia by Croats and Serbs
• 1 Permanent partition
• 1 Political disaffection
• 1 Political rifts
• 1 Problems with Bosnian Serb leaders
• 1 Prospects for accession
• 1 Relations with NATO and US
• 1 Relations with USSR
• 1 Restrain Bosnian Serbs
• 1 Rising discontent
• 1 Romania
• 1 Romanian Communist Party
• 1 Romanian government
• 1 Russia wants lifting of sanctions on Serbia
• 2 Secret Norway-Sweden defense alliance
• 2 Serbia
• 2 Serbian government
• 1 Serbian-inspired fighting in Bosnia
• 1 Serb military action against UNPROFOR
• 1 Serbs
• 1 Slobodan Milosevic
• 1 Soviet interests
• 1 Soviet military
• 1 Soviet perspective
• 1 Soviet threat
• 1 Spain
• 1 Spain and NATO
• 1 Spain and the European Community
• 1 Spanish economy
• 1 Spanish government
• 1 Special relationship with West Germany
• 1 Stalemated negotiations
• 1 State of negotiations
• 1 Suspend compliance with arms embargo
• 2 Sweden
• 1 Territorial claims
• 1 Terrorist acts
• 1 Terrorist threat
• 1 The perspective from Nicosia
• 1 The role of the Spanish military
• 1 The Yugoslav military
• 1 Training and leadership weaknesses
• 1 Transatlantic differences over the USSR
• 1 Tudjman
• 1 Two years of fighting
• 1 U.N. Security Council
• 1 UK and France want to withdraw their troops from Bosnia
• 1 United Nations
• 1 UN peacekeeping force
• 1 UN peacekeeping forces
• 1 UN Security Council
• 1 Use of airpower to enforce exclusion zones
• 2 Vance-Owen Plan
• 1 Wants to recover territory lost to Serbs in 1991
• 1 Widespread popular disaffection
• 1 Willy Brandt
• 1 Withdrawal of UNPROFOR unlikely
• 1 Yugoslav armed forces
• 1 Yugoslav combat capabilities
• 1 Yugoslav government about to collapse
• 11 Yugoslavia
• 1 Yugoslavia on verge of dissolving
• 1 Yugoslavia’s failing economy
• 1 Yugoslav military superior to opponents